I've Watched This Pattern Destroy Companies Four Times.
I run a business-transformation firm and a film studio: the studio tells the story that makes a transformation stick.
I don't teach AI tools. I identify what new developments can be adapted to your advantage and reshape the business to capture that value. AI is the current wave. The principles are universal.
In the early 1990s, I watched an executive team miss a shift in technology and competition that ended their company. Three hundred people lost their jobs. Then thousands more did as the Defense industry collapsed from 51 to 5 major Prime Contractors.
In the mid-1990s, exploring advanced technologies and best practices within the company led to an opportunity to join McDonnell Douglas's Integrated Product Development team for the Delta III Launch System. Emerging software tools enabled re-thinking our product development process, saving significant time and money, from development through to field maintenance, in an industry whose cost-plus contracts had rewarded neither. Creating a corporate-level team for sharing use cases and adapting them to multiple product lines across five business units accelerated implementation. A career highlight became the moment of signing the first Delta III engineering drawings.
In the late 1990s and early 2000s, I led creation of a nationwide DoD Supplier Development program while at CMTC, helping smaller manufacturers navigate that transition. Some made it, many did not.
A stark pattern had become clear: too many companies investing in production capability, even though there was too much capacity in the industry's supply chain, instead of finding where the value had shifted to.
The companies that survived weren't the ones with the best equipment or most unique capabilities. They were the ones who recognized that manufacturing capability and capacity had become abundant in the Defense Industry supply chain. The new 'scarcity' (meaning high-value) had become speed of adaptability. A radical change from the slow pace of change experienced when working on Government Contracts.
Every technology transition follows the same pattern: what was scarce becomes abundant, and the companies that survive are the ones who find the new scarcity first.
I've distilled forty-two working years of this pattern recognition into the Scarcity Protocol: a three-principle methodology for identifying genuine scarcity, redesigning around it, and building the organizational capability to keep adapting. My upcoming book, The Scarcity Protocol, gives mid-market leaders the complete framework.
Thirty years of fixing companies showed transformation efforts stumbling at the same point, belief: telling the story of why we're doing it and what's required. So I built a film studio to fix that half.
Pepperdine MBA · Based in Los Angeles, CA
- Delta III Launch System: Integrated Product Development team, McDonnell Douglas
- Corporate best-practices team lead, five business units
- DoD Supplier Development leader
- McDonnell Douglas C-17 Six Sigma co-author
- Author: The Scarcity Protocol & Perform or Perish
- Thirty years fixing companies
- 100+ podcast episodes